FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
October 7, 2020
Contact: John Yob, [email protected]
VI Tech Stack and the University of the Virgin Islands releases new poll in 2020 USVI General Election
St. Thomas, Virgin Islands – A new poll was released by VI Tech Stack in collaboration with the University of the Virgin Islands Center for Excellence in Leadership and Learning (CELL). It revealed frontrunners in the legislative elections, high support for Governor Bryan’s handling of the coronavirus, and a majority of USVI residents in favor of more economic development and tourism.
In the election for Delegate to the House of Representatives, incumbent Democrat Stacey Plaskett has an overwhelming advantage over her challenger Shekema M. George in both districts. 65% of respondents in St. Thomas/St. John and 73% of respondents in St. Croix said they would support Plaskett.
In the USVI legislative elections, 7 candidates will be elected in the St. Thomas/St. John District and 7 candidates will be elected in the St. Croix District.
In the St. Thomas/St. John District, Donna Frett Gregory and Janelle K. Sarauw performed the best. Gregory received 16.2% and Sarauw received 14.7%. Marvin A. Blyden placed third with 8.7%, Athneil “Bobby” Thomas fourth with 8%, Stedmann Hodge Jr. fifth with 6%, Alma Francis Heyliger sixth with 5.8%, and Milton E. Potter seventh with 5.4%. 14.3% are undecided.
In the St. Croix District, Kurt Vialet and Allison DeGazon finished the best among their fellow incumbents. Vialet placed first with 13.4% and Allison DeGazon placed third with 10.6%. Democratic challenger Genevieve Whitaker performed very well with 11.2%, placing second and finishing ahead of the majority of incumbents. Javan E. James placed fourth with 9.6%, Novelle E. Francis Jr. fifth with 9.2%, Michael J. Springer sixth with 6.3%, and Alicia “Chucky” Hansen rounded out the top seven with 4.5%. 12% of respondents are undecided.
Governor Bryan’s favorability was just slightly higher in St. Thomas/St. John than it was in St. Croix, with 49% favorable to 31% unfavorable (+18 ) in St. Thomas/St. John and 44% favorable to 34% unfavorable (+10) in St. Croix.
Bryan has very good numbers when it comes to his handling of the coronavirus. 64% of St. Thomas/St. John respondents agree while just 25% disagree with his handling (+39). 58% of St. Croix respondents said they agree while just 32% disagree with his handling (+26).
When it comes to the economy, a majority of St. Thomas/St. John and St. Croix respondents are in favor of more development and tourism. In St. Thomas/St. John, 66% are in favor of a new casino or hotel that would create jobs for VI residents and 63% are in favor of more tourism. In St. Croix, 78% are in favor of a new casino or hotel that would create jobs for VI residents and 69% are in favor of more tourism.
Respondents were also asked how supportive they would be of a Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy in which the US Virgin Islands government would support the private sector in rebuilding efforts and economic resiliency for the Virgin Islands, including upgrades to key infrastructure such as the Cyril E. King Airport and WAPA. 77% of respondents in St. Thomas/St. John and 76% of respondents in St. Croix said they are supportive.
The St. Thomas/St. John District poll was conducted September 23-27, 2020, surveyed 450 likely voters, and has a 4.58% margin of error. CLICK HERE to see the full results.
The St. Croix District poll was conducted September 23-27, 2020, surveyed 250 likely voters, and has a 6.17% margin of error. CLICK HERE to see the full results.
VI Tech Stack and The University of the Virgin Islands Center for Excellence in Leadership and Learning (CELL) accurately predicted the results of the 2018 US Virgin Islands General Election. In the gubernatorial race, the top 5 vote getters were predicted in order, and a runoff election was accurately predicted between Albert Bryan and Kenneth Mapp. The poll also correctly predicted the winner of the Senate At-Large race, 7/7 of the St. Croix legislative winners, and 6/7 of the St. Thomas/St. John legislative winners. The full memo of the 2018 election poll can be found here.
VI Tech Stack and The University of the Virgin Islands Center for Excellence in Leadership and Learning (CELL) also accurately predicted the winner of the 2018 gubernatorial runoff election. The poll showed Albert Bryan as the 9 point favorite, which is exactly the margin he went on to win by. Results of the poll can be found here.